Otaki 6-Day Calibrated Forecast
Live ECMWF IFS single-run forecasts are calibrated with the May 2026 Otaki models. Shaded bands show the 10th to 90th percentile range, with the expected value as the main line.
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Temperature Range
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Calibrated, next 6 days
Total Precipitation
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Sum of hourly calibrated
Max PoP
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Probability of precip >= 0.2 mm/h
Peak Wind / Gust
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Calibrated speeds in km/h
Forecast Graphs
Temperature
10th-90th percentile
Raw
Expected
Hourly Precipitation
10th-90th percentile
Raw center (dashed)
Raw western/coastal (dashed)
Expected
Day labels: hourly expected sum
Daily Precipitation
Expected daily total
OOF-calibrated 80% interval
Day labels: daily expected total
Probability of Precipitation
Hourly PoP (>= 0.2 mm/h)
Daily PoP at noon
Wind Direction Speed & Gust
Speed 10th-90th
Gust 10th-90th
Speed Raw
Speed Expected
Gust Raw
Gust Expected
Forecast arrows, faded in light winds
Total Cloud Amount
Raw forecast %
Precipitation calibration debug
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Hourly Forecast
Calibrated values are highlighted in teal.
| Time (Local) | Temp Raw C | Temp Cal C | Precip Raw mm/h | Precip Sea Raw mm/h | Precip Cal mm/h | PoP | Wind Dir deg | Wind Raw km/h | Wind Cal km/h | Gust Raw km/h | Gust Cal km/h |
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